The Kenya Meteorological Service Authority (KMSA) says the unusually high temperatures across the country are being driven by a delayed onset of the October‑November‑December (OND) short‑rain season.
Assistant Director of Forecasts David Koros explained that clear skies have allowed more solar radiation to reach the surface, intensifying the heat, while the El Niño pattern that began in June continues to influence regional weather.
Koros added that Tropical Cyclone ‘Agueda’ has been drawing rain‑bearing clouds away from most of Kenya, leaving large areas dry except for limited pockets around the Lake Victoria basin.
He noted that the cyclone is slowing and is expected to dissipate by Saturday, after which the OND rains should resume and spread from the Lake Victoria region onward.
Despite the expected dissipation, Koros warned that residual winds from the system could generate high waves and strong gusts along the Indian Ocean coast and eastern Kenya, potentially disrupting coastal activities.
He forecasted that cloud build‑up will begin over the Coast, Eastern regions and Nairobi, bringing some rain over the weekend as the short‑rain season finally takes hold.
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